/ STATBASE / DECISION REPORTS
Central index for special studies. Each report includes evidence, confidence framing, and clear next actions.
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
A 1-1 opening weekend changes the favorite
Rouen opens at 56.6%, but a 1-1 first weekend moves Savigny narrowly ahead. The expanded forecast tests rotation strategy, player-level championship leverage and roster-value concentration.
Event window: September 19-27, 2026
Published: 2026-09-14
Updated: 2026-09-14
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / GERMANY DBL
Germany's strongest, evenly matched
Bonn and Regensburg reached the original most-likely final. The primary model opens at 50.51-49.49, while the probable rotation creates a clearer Bonn lean.
Event window: September 12-26, 2026
Published: 2026-09-09
Updated: 2026-09-09
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
The final comes early
July's projected finalists must eliminate each other this weekend. Rouen gains the clearest route, while one opening result can transform Savigny's series.
Event window: September 12-27, 2026
Published: 2026-09-07
Updated: 2026-09-07
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / NETHERLANDS HDK
Neptunus vs Amsterdam, first to four wins
The expected final is set: Neptunus recovered from an opening loss, Amsterdam swept 23-6, and Game 1 can immediately flip the favorite.
Event window: September 5-20, 2026
Published: 2026-09-04
Updated: 2026-09-04
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / CZECH EXTRALIGA
Kotlářka vs Hroši, first to four wins
Kotlářka enters the Czech Series at 73.9%, Hroši brings the stronger pitching profile, and the model maps all seven scheduled games and eight exact outcomes.
Event window: September 4-19, 2026
Published: 2026-09-04
Updated: 2026-09-04
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Savigny the 1st, Rouen the strongest finish
Savigny secured numero uno spot, Rouen closed 6-0 with a league-best +93 run differential, and StatPredict identified all four Final Four qualifiers in France.
Event window: April 11-August 30, 2026
Published: 2026-08-30
Updated: 2026-08-31
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / GERMANY DBL
3 sweeps, 1 comeback, and 2 semifinal co-favorites
StatPredict went 3-for-4 in the quarterfinals, Paderborn came back from 0-2, and Regensburg leads Bonn by 1.9 points in the updated title forecast.
Event window: August 15-23, 2026
Published: 2026-08-25
Updated: 2026-08-25
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / CZECH EXTRALIGA
Final weekend and 3 teams fight for the last knockout spot
Eagles lead a three-team race for the last playoff place, Hroši leads the title forecast at 44.3%, and 36.7% of simulated seasons reach a tie at the cut line.
Event window: August 7-9, 2026
Published: 2026-08-05
Updated: 2026-08-05
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / GERMANY DBL
Bonn leads, but Stuttgart makes the bracket tighter
Bonn leads the corrected 500,000-simulation forecast at 32.2%, Regensburg follows at 27.2%, and eighth-seeded Stuttgart carries a 27.8% chance to eliminate the favorite.
Event window: August 15-September 26, 2026
Published: 2026-08-03
Updated: 2026-08-20
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / NETHERLANDS HDK
Neptunus leads, Amsterdam is close
Four play-off teams are confirmed, Neptunus leads the title forecast at 52.5%, and Amsterdam remains close at 41.7%. Can the underdogs beat the math?
Event window: July 30-August 1, 2026
Published: 2026-07-30
Updated: 2026-07-30
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Six teams, four Final Four places, one championship
Montpellier leads the title projection, Savigny leads the first-place race, and Rouen, La Rochelle and Sénart shape a volatile final month.
Event window: July 28-August 9, 2026
Published: 2026-07-28
Updated: 2026-07-28
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
A confidence-weighted hypothetical France U21 roster
Montpellier has the youngest active group, Toulouse has the youngest French-national core. Inside you can find a cautious U21 roster based on the league performance.
Event window: July 12, 2026
Published: 2026-07-13
Updated: 2026-07-13
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
3 HR, 7 RBI, and a French D1 first inside a one-run game
13-12 win at La Rochelle: the first FD1 team game with 4 HR, first 3-HR player game, and first 7-RBI game in the 2026 European cache.
Event window: July 4, 2026
Published: 2026-07-04
Updated: 2026-07-04
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
StatPredict audit, champion story, and tournament value
Complete Conf. Cup review: Hroši validated the pre-event favorite lane, StatPredict named the exact finalists and finished 9-for-11 with some notable result close calls.
Event window: June 15-20, 2026
Published: 2026-06-21
Updated: 2026-06-21
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Replay context, tactical rest, and final forecast
Day 5 recap for the Confederation Cup: Brasschaat finished 4-0, Hroši protected its likely final inventory, and the rotation-aware model prices HRO at 61.9%.
Event window: June 19, 2026
Published: 2026-06-19
Updated: 2026-06-19
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Almost exact score, locked final, and updated title math
Day 4 recap for the Confederation Cup: StatPredict moved to 7-for-8, the original G8 score card missed by 0.3 combined runs, and the locked final prices Hroši at 63.8%.
Event window: June 18, 2026
Published: 2026-06-18
Updated: 2026-06-18
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Rouen's back door, Hroši control, and Thursday pressure
Day 3 recap for the Confederation Cup: StatPredict moved to 5-for-6, Rouen repaired its tiebreak path, Hroši took title control, and Thursday can still deliver surprises.
Event window: June 17, 2026
Published: 2026-06-17
Updated: 2026-06-17
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Brasschaat blast, Hroši control, and Wednesday pressure
Day 2 recap for the Confederation Cup: StatPredict went 2-for-2, Hroši held the favorite lane, Brasschaat exploded for 19, and Wednesday now prices the damage.
Event window: June 16, 2026
Published: 2026-06-16
Updated: 2026-06-16
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Ninth-inning swing, live table reset, and pitch-depth tax
Day 1 recap for the Confederation Cup: Brasschaat landed the model lean, Karlovac flipped Savigny late, and Tuesday now carries immediate table pressure.
Event window: June 15, 2026
Published: 2026-06-15
Updated: 2026-06-15
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Final equity, game prices, and tiebreak pressure
Statbase's StatPredict modeling for the Confederation Cup: Hroši Brno lead, Brasschaat and Rouen carrying the main chase lanes. Will Savigny break the math?
Event window: June 15-20, 2026
Published: 2026-06-13
Updated: 2026-06-13
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Halfway board, weekend splits, and a live title race
Midseason brief for French Division 1: all eight clubs have reached 14+ games, Savigny leads the model, and the race stays open after 1 sweep and 3 splits.
Event window: June 6-7, 2026
Published: 2026-06-08
Updated: 2026-06-08
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Final Four field, Statbase insights, and September board
Group-stage recap for Baseball Champions League: Neptunus & Parma won the groups, Tenerife & Draci qualified second, and the Final Four vision.
Event window: May 22-24, 2026
Published: 2026-05-24
Updated: 2026-05-24
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
First-place control and Sunday gates
Day 2 recap for Champions League EU 2026: Neptunus and Parma took 1st-place control, Tenerife-Heidenheim and Draci-Oosterhout became direct Sunday gates.
Event window: May 23, 2026
Published: 2026-05-23
Updated: 2026-05-23
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Group resets, upset hooks, and pitch-depth tax
Day 1 recap for Champions League EU 2026: Neptunus and Oosterhout broke the favorite script, Parma reset Regensburg & the PFI leaderboards with pitch-depth tax.
Event window: May 22, 2026
Published: 2026-05-22
Updated: 2026-05-22
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / EUROPE
Rotterdam and Regensburg pre-event board
Forecast / benchmark translation report for BCL 2026 groups: winner and top-two equity, game-level leans, team dossiers, swing points, and more.
Event window: May 22-24, 2026
Published: 2026-05-19
Updated: 2026-05-19
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Champion road, final story, and tournament lessons
Rouen validated the favorite lane, La Rochelle completed the adaptive runner-up arc & the event as a live lesson in run environment, PFI, and pitch-depth stress.
Event window: May 14-17, 2026
Published: 2026-05-17
Updated: 2026-05-17
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Semifinal reads and final preview
Day 3 recap: La Rochelle completed the survival arc, Rouen validated the favorite lane, and the Sunday final is set for May 17 at Les Argoulets.
Event window: May 16-17, 2026
Published: 2026-05-16
Updated: 2026-05-16
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Run spike, semifinal board, and pitch-depth ledger
Day 2 recap: the tournament jumped to 74 runs, Béziers flipped two elimination games, La Rochelle broke through B5, and the semifinal board is now locked.
Event window: May 15, 2026
Published: 2026-05-15
Updated: 2026-05-15
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Forecast check, live bracket reset, and pitch-depth tax
Day 1 recap: Statbase hit 3 of 4 winner calls, Sénart flipped the A2 lean, the run environment dropped, and the Friday board now hinges on recovery and pitch-depth tax.
Event window: May 14, 2026
Published: 2026-05-14
Updated: 2026-05-14
TOURNAMENT INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Tournament odds, bracket routes, and team watchboard
Prediction report: Rouen's favorite case, Montpellier's A-pool lane, Savigny's hard bracket draw, Senart's dark-horse profile, and a visual route map from openers to final.
Event window: May 14-17, 2026
Published: 2026-05-13
Updated: 2026-05-13
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Results, player impact, and post-weekend pressure
Weekend review Division 1: the forecast hit 6 of 8 winners, Savigny & Senart swept, La Rochelle & Toulouse pushed back – the indexes explain the players behind the results.
Event window: May 9-10, 2026
Published: 2026-05-11
Updated: 2026-05-11
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Weekend preview through PVI, PFI, and TPM
Weekend preview for FD1 through Statbase Index: Savigny's chance to control the slate, Rouen's road test, Montpellier's big bats, and a tight Senart-Beziers fight.
Event window: May 9-10, 2026
Published: 2026-05-08
Updated: 2026-05-08
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Upset sweeps and trajectory analysis
GW4 report for Division 1: Beziers, Senart, and Savigny sweeps through PFI, pressure conversion, player-of-the-match signals, and progress-vs-degradation reads.
Event window: May 2-3, 2026
Published: 2026-05-03
Updated: 2026-05-03
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / GERMAN BUNDESLIGA
Weekly player form and volatility report
Week 2 analytical board for DBL: contextual impact leaders, z-score anomalies, team performance context, trend shifts, and two-way deployment recommendations.
Event window: Apr 10-12 and Apr 17-19, 2026
Published: 2026-04-22
Updated: 2026-04-22
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / CZECH EXTRALIGA
Weekly player form and volatility report
Week 2 analytical board for Czech Extraliga: Raw Impact vs PFI framing, team performance context, stable player form leaders, shifters, and recommendations.
Event window: Weeks 1-2 through Apr 18, 2026
Published: 2026-04-19
Updated: 2026-04-19
LEAGUE INTELLIGENCE / FRANCE D1
Early-season player form and volatility report
Week 2 analytical board for D1: team performance context, stable player form leaders, trend shifts, and short-window recommendations.
Event window: Apr 4-5 and Apr 11-12, 2026
Published: 2026-04-13
Updated: 2026-04-13
CLUB TRANSITION / FRANCE D1
Native-PVI D2-to-D1 roster projection report
Transition analysis for Paris Université Club using proprietary PVI math, percentile-transfer adaptation, roster-tier pressure mapping & execution priorities.
Event window: 2025 D2 baseline + early 2026 D1
Published: 2026-04-09
Updated: 2026-04-11
NATIONAL TEAM / CZECH REPUBLIC
Tournament review and translation analysis
Performance review covering tournament outcomes, domestic-pipeline representation, translation gaps versus CEX baselines, and a decision-ready 120-day priority map.
Event window: March 5-10, 2026
Published: 2026-03-12
Updated: 2026-03-13