/ CLUB TRANSITION REPORT / PUC / D2 TO D1 / 2026

PUC 2026 transition report

Roster transition report built on native Statbase PVI math. The report shows where Paris Université Club already projects as D1-caliber, where depth is fragile, and what actions can convert a pitching-led base into stable competitive outcomes.

EXECUTIVE DASHBOARD

PUC 2026 transition board

Big picture

What PUC already is

Pitching-led team with real top-end impact.

This is not a survival-only roster if run prevention holds.

What can break the season

Depth offense + defense leakage.

Top-arm value gets wasted if conversion and glove stability lag.

What changes the ceiling

Watch-tier conversion into core roles.

Turn 1-2 watch profiles into reliable weekly contributors.

IMPACT PLAYERS

5

PVI 60+

CORE WATCH

6

PVI 50-59

REPLACEMENT RISK

7

PVI <45

NO SIGNAL

7

Not enough data yet

MEAN PVI

50.9

Median 50

HIGH-CONFIDENCE IMPACT

3

Reliable top core

SCORED PLAYERS

21

Actionable grading set

TEAM IDENTITY

Pitching-led

Run prevention first

Strengths to protect

Top-end pitching value

Evidence: Rolland/Lequeux profiles + impact-tier pitching base.

Protect by: Prioritize workload timing and leverage usage discipline.

Run prevention baseline

Evidence: ERA 3.04 (3/9), WHIP 1.41 (4/9), K/9 8.63 (4/9).

Protect by: Keep traffic management and strike-quality plans stable.

Game control floor

Evidence: Run differential +47 (3/9).

Protect by: Avoid self-inflicted runs through defensive slippage.

Weak areas to fix first

Offense depth conversion

High

Evidence: Team OPS .697 (6/9) with heavy output concentration.

Baseball cost: When top bats are neutralized, scoring collapses quickly.

Fix now: Stabilize one watch-tier bat role and add one OBP-stable profile.

Defensive run leakage

High

Evidence: FPct .924 (6/9) and multiple sub-.836 fielding marks.

Baseball cost: Pitching value is lost through extended innings and extra traffic.

Fix now: Targeted defensive role alignment and late-inning glove protection.

Depth uncertainty

Medium

Evidence: 7 no-signal players and only 3 high-confidence impact profiles.

Baseball cost: Roster decisions become reactive under pressure.

Fix now: Use strict evaluation windows with binary keep/develop decisions.

Roster signal mix

TIER DISTRIBUTION

HOW TO READ THIS BOARD

1) Core reality: impact pitching is real now.

2) Pressure lane: watch/risk/no-signal depth is larger than impact group.

3) Action filter: every decision should ask if it protects run prevention and upgrades depth.

4) Coverage note: no-signal group 7; additional scored but unnamed 3.

Method used

DATA USED

2025 D2 + early 2026 D1 player data.

LEAGUE ADJUSTMENT

D2 output translated into D1 context.

SCORING

Native Statbase PVI only.

FINAL GRADE

Carryover blended with early D1 reliability.

League context board

Left chart: longer bars mean stronger league rank position.

K%

21.7%

BB%

16.6%

PVI leaderboard

Green = impact, blue = watch, orange = risk.

Unit board

Strength: pitching. Main leak: defense. Swing variable: offense depth.

OFFENSE LEADERS

ROLLAND DIAMOND Clyde
OPS .986 | PVI 68

Dussart Jerome
OPS .976 | PVI 74

DUSSART Julian
OPS .835 | PVI 51

PITCHING LEADERS

ROLLAND DIAMOND Clyde
51.7 IP | 1.57 ERA | 1.30 WHIP

LEQUEUX Ethan
41.0 IP | 1.76 ERA | 1.22 WHIP

LE GUILLOU Luca
31.0 IP | 11.32 K/9

DEFENSE RISK

LE GUILLOU Luca
FPct .667

ONSRI Nawapon Thomas
FPct .714

SOLLIEZ Basile
FPct .783

SOULIER Alexandre
FPct .800

Mesguich Camille
FPct .836

Scenario matrix

Most likely path today: base scenario unless depth upgrades land.

Ceiling

Strong upper-mid D1 profile

  • Core arms hold workload quality
  • At least one upside profile fully validates
  • Two watch-tier bats move into stable core value

Base

Mid-table competitive profile

  • Pitching carries most series
  • Offense stays top-heavy
  • Defense improves only partially

Floor

Bottom-tier pressure zone

  • Top-arm regression or overload hits
  • Mid/lower tiers fail to convert
  • Offense depth cannot absorb variance

Action plan

PRIORITY 1

Protect Rolland/Lequeux workload and usage timing.

PRIORITY 2

Convert one watch-tier profile into stable core value.

PRIORITY 3

Fix defensive leakage in named high-risk pockets.

PRIORITY 4

Add one OBP-stable bat to de-risk lineup collapse.

PRIORITY 5

Use strict evaluation windows for no-signal players.

WindowFocusOwnerSuccess indicator
0-30dPitching leverage managementHead coach + pitching coordinatorTop arms keep command and availability
30-60dDefensive cleanupDefensive coordinatorError and free-base leakage trend down
60-90dMiddle-order OBP stabilityHitting lead + recruitmentLess dependence on top two bats
90-120dWatch/no-signal roster hardeningFront office + analyticsAt least one watch profile becomes core

Monthly decision checklist

Decision questionEvidence neededOwnerDeadline
Which watch-tier player gets a stable core role first?30-day usage + production stability in one defined role.Field staff + analytics30 days
Where is the highest defensive leakage concentration?Error/extra-base outcomes by game state and alignment.Defensive coordinator30 days
What is the preferred OBP acquisition profile?Contact + chase + zone-discipline fit vs current lineup mix.Front office45 days
Which no-signal players stay in active evaluation?Defined window outcomes against role-specific checkpoints.Head coach + front office60 days